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Tuesday, January 10, 2012

KLCI Stock - RSAWIT / 5113 - 2011 Quarter 3

RIMBUNAN SAWIT BERHAD

Company Description
RIMBUNAN SAWIT BERHAD is a Malaysia-based Company. The principal activities of the Company are investment holding and provision of management services. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiaries are R.H. Plantation Sdn Bhd engaged in cultivation of oil palm; Timrest Sdn Bhd, which is engaged in cultivation of oil palm; Rimbunan Sawit Holdings Berhad, engaged in investment holding; Baram Trading Sdn Bhd, which is engaged in cultivation of oil palm, and Nescaya Palma Sdn Bhd, engaged in cultivation of oil palm.

Company Info
Listing Date2006-06-28
IPO Price1.0
Market Capital (Capital Size)1,229,994,647 (Large)
Par ValueRM 0.50
BoardMain
SectorPlantation
Major IndustryTransportation
Sub IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop
Websitehttp://www.rsb.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(0.94-0.02)/0.06 = 15.33 (Moderate)
Target Price0.96+0.02 = 0.98 (PE 16.0, EPS 0.06, DPS 0.02)
DecisionBUY if stock price below or near to SMA20
Comment
Revenue increased 4.7% and was third consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 67.9%, eps decreased 26.8% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 38.2%, cash generated from operating not enough for financing expenses but got enough cash generated from financing activities to cover all expenses, slightly higher liquidity ratio but still at very weak level now, lower gearing ratio but still at high level now, payables ratio got improved but still very high level now, going to benefit from increasing of CPO price
First Support Price0.9
Second Support Price0.84
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity10.98%
Dividend Yield2.13%
Profit Margin23.78%
Tax Rate23.16%
Asset Turnover0.2423
Net Asset Value Per Share1.36
Net Tangible Asset per share1.14
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.75
Cash Per Share0.01
Liquidity Current Ratio0.2103
Liquidity Quick Ratio0.1496
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.0112
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio1.4951
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.5592
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale-100.9%
Days to sell the inventory43
Days to collect the receivables65
Days to pay the payables282

Technical Analysis
SMA 200.901 (Uptrend 13 days)
SMA 500.847 (Uptrend)
SMA 1000.592 (Uptrend)
SMA 2000.509 (Uptrend)
MACD0.08773 (Downtrend 4 days)
MACD Histogram-0.010316 (Downtrend 19 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue mainly attributed by more favourable average crude palm oil (“CPO”) and palm kernel (“PK”) prices realised and higher volume of fresh fruit bunches (‘FFB”) production

- The higher FFB production for the current quarter also attributed by the addition of nine plantation estates and one commercial rights on plantation estate since September 2010

- The Group also achieved an increase in sales volume of CPO and PK

- The average selling prices also increased for CPO and PK

- Higher pbt than corresponding periods of last year principally due to higher prices on palm products and higher FFB production

- Lower pbt than FY11Q2 mainly due to higher dosage and more manuring rounds and lower average selling prices for CPO and PK

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 17855/1308505*4*1.1 = 0.06, estimate PE on current price 0.94 = 15.33
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = 0.113/4*2*1.1 = 0.0622, estimate highest/lowest PE = 16.4/7.15 (DPS 0.02)

RSAWIT latest news (English)

RSAWIT latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2120113N/AN/A-3.15%10.17%98613267205234537894017855576020.04990.1629128500171858985797566412725851020083298919124294233566155583575363536673039052011-09-3023.78%23.16%0.2423-1.361.140.750.010.21030.14960.01121.49510.5592-100.9%4365282
2011-08-26201122.330.74-4.15%6.86%94196168592328315548724073397460.06820.11301375894796283113150579611604645785166201912426134007231313528933517327446042011-06-3034.85%22.24%0.185-1.331.111.90.010.16950.10920.00891.70710.5787-162.0%6671458
2011-05-25201112.682.0-2.80%2.80%7439674396226552265515673156730.04470.044713356877751091175895605781731523101123281912357866542125813505713505717502212011-03-3130.45%25.55%0.156-1.261.042.060.010.14720.08610.01081.74970.5803-193.5%7362494
2011-02-24201062.242.00.020.81%9.61%275782910508827755164394522250.01250.3073130438676094911635454343714560217521832929434222961662545191233505711699497642442010-12-3132.01%42.49%0.1497-2.512.061.060.010.11420.06730.01111.78170.5834-212.3%6449562
2011-01-24201052.422.18-3.97%8.92%81849263472305656668921294478310.07700.3029130299076684211567453614814277916685829890434212407953969105482764701579076303512010-11-3037.34%22.48%0.1656-2.662.181.050.020.20750.13070.01861.82380.5885-108.5%5856540
2010-10-25201042.491.63-6.28%33.96%441371816236925361354907265470.03830.20702842652060872437817853249799381870040506266894538948831282671282672437072010-08-3115.69%25.63%0.63899.18020.610.385.00.050.37540.26680.06622.64430.725-30.1%273590
2010-07-26201031.91.4-7.46%29.63%417521374867305292095450216390.04250.1687277025203998-7302748049732161249540505251673766228431282671282671872692010-05-3117.50%25.39%0.6437-0.570.344.290.090.45760.36640.17562.79350.7364-19.2%162480
2010-04-26201021.551.34-10.64%23.96%48077957349723219047193161890.05610.1262271766204189-675773684767307108184050530460412787731282671282671924002010-02-2820.22%26.02%0.6349-0.530.35.00.060.38980.31890.11893.02160.7513-23.4%142891
2010-01-27201011.571.21-9.28%9.28%47657476571216912169898489840.07000.0700299029202229-96800117623151248143421861111092545131282671282671898352009-11-3025.53%26.17%0.5244-0.750.732.030.481.44241.30680.97742.08910.676317.8%284870
2009-10-23200941.531.280.0352.52%12.01%408231518903951183722858136120.02230.1061319486206137-11334930471213961063220799907519707405061282671282671782912009-08-319.68%27.66%0.475313.09810.880.662.110.41.12811.04290.77771.81860.64525.5%174284
2009-07-24200931.491.28-6.82%12.62%359871117127786143825789107150.04510.0835277870192947-849231742170591274220798188016059147391282671282671744432009-05-3121.64%25.65%0.6168-0.660.642.120.21.63041.47480.58442.2720.694416.4%208244
2009-04-29200921.441.18-2.45%6.22%323537505226016596193849260.01510.0384272703193544-791591741142311994520798159723973247711282671282671500722009-02-288.04%25.49%0.6871-0.620.591.980.291.48711.33130.82982.4450.709711.6%183942
2009-01-15200911.30.94-3.68%3.68%426994269940264026301930190.02350.0235261470179456-820144694803821712081833441173196451282671282671257012008-11-309.43%25.01%0.7734-0.640.611.610.281.94211.5331.19612.18810.686313.9%311544
2008-10-24200841.270.870.0510.96%49.37%6034421198612730540698654389990.06750.3040265025186030-78995581837255735574707661437449948208181282671282671218532008-08-3121.10%32.02%0.79993.12450.620.591.610.321.77681.31461.11882.3550.701913.6%451261
2008-07-28200831.780.95-6.45%22.78%5198115164211220413408588303460.06700.23663450872118736664133214543436670125975707661235838333324331282671282672283152008-05-3121.58%23.46%0.5682-0.990.892.00.411.60411.33841.13481.67420.61414.4%361790
2008-04-22200822.281.71-7.55%18.36%471979966112651301208949217580.06980.1696253089134563-118526376295809518964707662046639430313361282671282672796222008-02-2926.80%29.26%0.7044-0.920.922.370.414.18593.78441.59561.13530.531758.3%4114677
2008-01-25200812.542.01-11.30%11.30%5246452464174691746912809128090.09990.0999239164125762-113402156365447279570766101897394781601282671282673078402007-11-3033.30%26.68%0.6867-0.880.882.730.774.95294.48743.99461.1090.525859.3%382758
2007-10-26200742.982.010.058.25%19.36%4443014739411593268788302194700.06470.1518220618120038-10058047399790862191937223949122700710221282671282672308802007-08-3126.09%28.39%0.506711.85830.780.782.310.714.61364.25734.04081.19350.544172.7%371674
2007-07-3020073N/AN/A-4.48%12.10%341911029645566152864136111690.03220.0871258954166676-92278310632184810466937229215125192471128267128267N/A2007-05-3116.28%25.69%0.2601-0.720.72N/A0.992.13982.08131.94091.80620.6437111.1%2850107
2007-04-2720072N/AN/A-3.86%7.98%331566877346169719339970320.02650.0548258312170171-8814122950193324339937223618721930011282671282672244672007-02-2813.92%26.36%N/A-0.690.692.541.02.01631.95571.86011.93070.6588N/A-N/AN/A

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtBiological assets (A-0)Deferred tax assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Fixed deposits with licensed banks (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Amount due to associated companies (L-1)Bank overdraf (L-1)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Payables and accruals (L-1)Provision for taxation (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
201135983215746539952339024316-495613378-4091-24133-55018140889180065-15935-220051-145916019085797
2011270585360295399523525--502366338-4091-29951-49746151022148950-23468-258904-7171206768113150
2011169371856565391323660--489167222674868-28842-35574146405155906-12802-260193-5758194045117589
2010668324846555391323809--485294313584868-21975-26253142983149920-19435-249231-4979194401116354
201056797861740-76222-136095347860701-4807-22662-33117136432334989-11248-65850-6009212314115674
201041140911928-29048-2255283769990974807-9512-174712027098236-5872-48565-119931945243
201031133471928-29046-22652812393663997396-5744-1191120049120980-819-32460-181227878-
201021118681928-29064-22753803704661017396-4692-1312819699118350-1238322931250--30423-
201011087182468-3320-131438018012059707273424708572-2075619650119350-15223939350--21625-
200941093322868-29103-229548139317330717273263005575-1728718835121850-3123-34100-117927050-
20093107119--3360-132548137328213281080015000694332251616017968130350-342-288629019-6406-
20092106634--3380-1330982770723925401080019130697913078684417651131100-629-2812511968-4071-
20091106823--3400-13364798286217201589419800122305422292717613131950---1250110281-7111-
20084105270--3420-13419767961681212034821119172002984418016866131950350468-123131230177911003-
20083140370--12803-32369844682022082034932560124344720460427869137200---12391147212985167076664
2008255127----10883504382791732034831458131076686044161392088000---500014093313210418-
2008154695691---1092650762142123201767814811475694050861311288000---5000950620008144-
2007455023--199-1096850681353471978570727801317473075955188000---5000713012829075-
2007356098107---110115125142712415000108157384632365953802393000---5000070487617844-
2007270591887----483154302-15000108486416731543410847293000---50000867816088413-

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesSelling and distribution costs
20113986135432680063441419745561661863540
20112941967303516883753102036311455-3313
2011174396578841119398830144431194-2492
201062757837511467812361262026682-937
2010581849687041929383476736922401-2596
201044413717753176520615021819243-2069
201034175218552863321501391727--2076
201024807725303161020771922356--2503
201014765731852952622732551411--2533
200944082310933056223923122047--2183
200933598719972237023811151519--2046
20092323536632431322934071468--2085
2009142699100733516226011251410--2612
200846034440764109322775501542--3252
200835198126323478722134291603--2587
200824719737022877921657812173--2210
200815246446602950022236981492--2478
200744443032912718918446001877--2527
200733419114302420121098731254--1934
2007233156121724188208711091247--2127

Monthly Business Data
yearmthCrude Palm OilPalm kernel
2011124792.321089.9
2011115533.781268.92
2011105899.61291.13
201196002.911342.75
201185371.461222
201175796.391385.5
201165339.741114.84
201155736.491161.94
201145707.451248.01
201135335.61218.13
201123970.11892.01
201113509.62784.36
2010124581.53996.42
2010115049.21956.75
2010105155.021260.33
201095214.941209.6
201085760.151312.07

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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