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Tuesday, January 17, 2012

KLCI Stock - NAIM / 5073 - 2011 Quarter 3

NAIM HOLDINGS BERHAD

Company Description
Naim Holdings Berhad, formerly Naim Cendera Holdings Berhad, is principally engaged in investment holding. The Company operates in three segments: property development, which is engaged in the development of residential and commercial properties; construction, which is engaged in the Construction of buildings, roads, bridges and others, and others, engaged in manufacture and sale of construction materials, provision of sand extraction and land filling services, property investment holdings. During the year ended December 31, 2008, the Company sold 629 units of residential and commercial properties. In July 2009, the Company incorporated Naimcendera Engineering & Construction Sendirian Berhad.

Company Info
Listing Date2003-09-12
Market Capital (Capital Size)422,500,000 (Small)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorProperties
Major IndustryProperty Development
Sub IndustryInfrastructure Construction
Websitehttp://www.naim.com.my/

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(1.69-0.08)/0.1732 = 9.30 (Moderate)
Target Price1.73+0.08 = 1.81 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.1732, DPS 0.08)
DecisionNot interested unless stock price selling at above 1.7 is low or stock price below SMA20 and got stronger buying volume than selling
Comment
Revenue decreased 8.8% and was third consecutive quarter decreasing and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 33.1%, eps decreased 46.5% and also lower than preceding year corresponding quarter 73.3%, cash generated from operating and financing more than enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio from high to strong level now, higher gearing ratio from moderate to above moderate level now, all accounting ratio still acceptable, property development cost maintain high, property development division performance getting bad
First Support Price1.68
Second Support Price1.55
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
TA Target Price5.53 (2011-01-26)
Kenanga Target Price4.2 (2011-03-01)
MIDF Target Price4.65 (2011-03-01)
CIMB Target Price2.73 (2011-05-13)
OSK Target Price3.04 (2011-05-23)
AMMB Target Price4.46 (2011-05-27)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity8.45%
Dividend Yield5.92%
Profit Margin13.30%
Tax Rate21.42%
Asset Turnover0.3984
Net Asset Value Per Share3.13
Net Tangible Asset per share3.09
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.57
Cash Per Share0.9
Liquidity Current Ratio5.2183
Liquidity Quick Ratio3.603
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.4168
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.7196
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.4135
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale123.7%
Days to sell the inventory187
Days to collect the receivables222
Days to pay the payables110

Technical Analysis
SMA 201.677 (Uptrend 8 days)
SMA 501.708 (Downtrend)
SMA 1001.762 (Downtrend)
SMA 2002.126 (Downtrend)
MACD-0.028364 (Uptrend 20 days)
MACD Histogram0.017700 (Uptrend 14 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Lower revenue and pbt mainly attributed by lower stages of completion achieved for the housing and construction projects. A majority of the existing construction projects was substantially completed and contributed minimal profit

- Its oil and gas associate, Dayang Enterprise Holdings Bhd (DEHB) continues to contribute positively to the earnings of the Group

- Lower pbt than FY11Q2 mainly due to the gain on partial disposal of equity interest in DEHB of about RM10 million reported in the preceding quarter

- Lower results is due in part to the sluggish demand for properties in Sarawak over the past two years amidst fears of overheating in the property sector affected by uncertainties over increasing cost of commodities, rising interest rates and decreasing purchasing power, inability to secure major construction contracts was also a contributing factor

- As early as June 2011, the Group launched Phase 7 of our Riveria Project in Kuching, the demand for our houses there exceeded expectations. In fact, the value of properties sold up to 3Q2011 of RM170 million exceeded sales of RM145 million achieved in the whole of previous year. This will translate into property revenue from 2012

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0433*4 = 0.1732, estimate PE on current price 1.69 = 9.3(DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = (0.0516+0.043)*2 = 0.1892(exclude RM10 million disposal gain), estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.15/7.93 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.4023*0.85 = 0.342(0.4023 from recent fourth quarter eps), estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.19/5.38 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.0921*4*0.9 = 0.3316, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.77/8.84 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.2587*2*0.9 = 0.4657, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.16/6.79 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.1619*2*1.1 = 0.3562, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.47/8.84 (DPS 0.1)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.2988 (10% drop from 0.332, due to profit decreasing), estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.28/8.57 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0793*4 = 0.3172, estimate highest/lowest PE = 11.41/8.89 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0902*4 = 0.3608, estimate highest/lowest PE = 9.87/6.59 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q2 result announced = 0.0955*4 = 0.382, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.04/6.73 (DPS 0.08)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q1 result announced = 0.0668*4 = 0.2672, estimate highest/lowest PE = 10.18/6.4 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2008 Q4 result announced = 0.1118*4 = 0.4472, estimate highest/lowest PE = 4.07/2.17 (DPS 0.13)

NAIM latest news (English)

NAIM latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2420113N/AN/A-1.36%5.50%94390318786125565104610253416430.04330.1758128993053336415390756566169954321720010038688262221738782125662369442369444170212011-09-3013.30%21.42%0.3984-3.133.090.570.95.21833.6031.41680.71960.4135123.7%187222110
2011-08-25201122.01.580.052.53%4.14%103492224396215463849019164313900.08090.132511835034251321577675837149434285091060386883790753153918412369442369444667792011-06-3020.82%11.42%0.4736-3.133.090.640.393.37912.19990.45660.57250.359286.7%183224112
2011-05-26201112.561.94-1.65%1.65%120904120904169441694412222122220.05160.0516119787845832215807739556832957010103959386884868155278939662369442369445947292011-03-3114.01%23.58%0.5117-3.053.010.830.41.81271.18840.24820.63330.382650.5%169207126
2011-02-28201043.342.50.052.95%13.13%1950826153723283113245321815971110.09210.409810546243151601544973946454916531595286789700175751110385902369442369447771762010-12-3116.83%33.52%0.58358.0033.063.011.090.172.47361.45760.15940.43530.298858.9%17918599
2010-11-24201033.93.26-5.14%10.49%140992420290501079962236941752960.15590.3178105348633545515642718031743653974154532897003462419908697922369442369448198262010-09-3035.54%21.41%0.582-2.962.921.180.32.37341.41690.26940.47760.318458.6%182175114
2010-08-25201023.833.250.053.50%5.50%155945279298302964951524362383550.10280.16191048651351853199616967987890434136309498970044768138191035192369442369447724372010-06-3019.43%20.96%0.588-2.862.811.160.442.24941.40690.37410.51980.335556.3%166164116
2010-05-25201013.452.64-2.04%2.04%123353123353192191921913993139930.05910.059110905834059462037868463712212384394489808970037729867091764092369442369446871372010-03-3115.58%26.68%0.5455-2.82.81.040.751.99081.28420.51280.61110.372257.4%178158114
2010-02-24200943.72.90.053.72%12.60%1928115669203027211553225083849810.10580.358510571623828382196167432415641383347976571211539732579897002370512370517822682009-12-3115.70%22.77%0.53639.20522.752.751.20.382.08661.25050.28060.58680.362161.5%208195142
2009-11-17200933.72.4-3.29%9.21%144460374109334838526021396598980.09020.25269790753283802337465069534077203141115257127137632611545162370872370876994062009-09-3023.18%36.18%0.5283-2.652.641.120.232.31471.45390.20250.52350.335468.4%194231144
2009-08-26200923.252.60.033.56%6.05%134342229649302275177722654385020.09550.1623960624324195234026364294109115693252595712125398139569822371592371596498152009-02-2822.50%22.41%0.5237-2.582.581.060.242.30551.38430.21510.52880.337568.8%205216141
2009-05-26200912.871.79-2.53%2.53%9530795307215502155015848158480.06680.066893050630533822948625168217751988338485712118925740513812373732373734343922009-03-3122.61%22.10%0.5403-2.542.530.720.222.3831.35980.20670.5070.328168.4%213198163
2009-02-25200841.991.080.054.43%13.20%1431265237172969610430427089807470.11180.3332955920344041242286118798879145592857491375568034254571212423212423212980542008-12-3120.75%8.70%0.54793.69122.432.420.510.242.14621.22450.19910.58550.359962.8%213196187
2008-10-31200832.351.22-2.52%9.09%130333380591214977460814883536580.06110.22049239623338102421959015218245172303956591375101538550528252434642434645721402008-09-3016.49%26.98%0.6113-2.322.321.010.221.89171.26640.19640.58980.361343.3%130178179
2008-08-06200822.932.070.082.95%6.49%133943250258239735311117651387750.07220.15878930842952652042559781913933219821227291375804920321710542443412443416963712008-06-3017.90%23.89%0.6455-2.362.361.210.32.26811.51020.30420.51140.330652.6%137175151
2008-04-24200814.02.81-3.61%3.61%116315116315291382913821124211240.08640.086410166304308281961658580213524107122096791424281218155732692444362444369826322008-03-3125.05%24.46%0.6176-2.322.311.740.311.98931.40870.21620.76090.423854.6%140234240
2008-02-28200744.13.08-2.00%13.66%1842336460243089012632511178762740.04570.312090691834865718943558261637118882538681203572511428982913752444912444919095062007-12-3116.77%59.29%0.712311.92422.212.21.690.382.01571.3310.31990.64650.384445.8%136162159
2007-11-14200735.353.60.083.49%11.25%142012461791307849543520217650960.08270.2663100164442297136254578673569519220159564120357352502431414467124449124449113080262007-09-3021.68%32.47%0.6574-2.222.212.420.62.40621.66140.51070.77980.422361.2%144183193
2007-08-23200725.75.1-3.98%8.04%185354319779319116465122205448790.09080.1836822256264372356825578844812238190751203572719217949856324449124449112713532007-06-3017.22%27.07%0.6281-2.142.132.440.413.05582.01590.48660.50630.321582.0%183223174
2007-04-2720071N/AN/A0.074.10%4.10%134425134425327403274022674226740.09270.0927811135257929407165532062045980164120357302531891171682444912444919779642007-03-3124.36%28.22%0.4082-2.12.091.910.493.11422.06390.59890.50330.318126.7%281320265
2007-02-2620064N/AN/A-4.19%12.50%1967135259973444210484922171662290.09070.27097938412641353989052970642201116964196513181730505114601203572444912444917628112006-12-3117.51%27.77%0.247811.51782.01.991.570.52.93011.91730.59810.53930.3327200.2%451480444

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtDeferred tax assets (A-0)Intangible assets (A-0)Investment in associated companies (A-0)Investment in jointly controlled entity (A-0)Investment properties (A-0)Land held for property development (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Other receivables, deposits and prepayments (A-1)Property development costs (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Deferred income (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
20113214591292095029384460391104714825131140472135801763726751685121674530508846240336375403-717814316815390
20112257192992068857217378971104434824871163169327411567242881173821662433284947081173756279116375657613580315776
2011123309469218741107042815511044348247912522094521971626721513621099634319947579299272641520120172517124915807
2010422829639168080866920871110443482506123690392147181327144011217182308094484952071243521190610440112529415449
201032516980916135710414-11052248491098856870498718420994-22933029313749890238607327193089776513730515642
201023237997915832211659-1105223435052579214103915929022167-2118502776285027423788113082001210183514463619961
201011866-15414511279-1104923515078975214176805890122561-22107225710851298983562442874218293212689520378
200941414214936310957-110492476510346339790096856227136-241336302897516461007870702505313092115807021961
2009383225515439910817454105313458477403567254516891219978-2117463279835211770543605-9335917224523374
20092832397150266106194571022964644794936496569821161222100-221963298191524506793218-9602116871323402
2009183273114434196774601022964504818831138513811378022003-232360272869534073335--5396219463422948
2008483289814689778824641022964504842732111571211251624350-240066281610537483436764-5405423203924228
200831193947128228116494671860724354873327296538851845219770-15175627507958865615--3838923594124219
200821193110213287286044701339124354889723079727661180620434-16084927666555704369197-3862820036720425
20081588125911408292994731282004354910423752749211107423847-17736040223654859293881560-87034415119616
20074119313639789010885477133912434493472483193087798224102-175149286266571265299054-4996323198518943
2007358815519381377154801332404615124523140146323-14565-1988353296885681179651446-85428520936254
200725881780441294804831335854611846923691100215-15778-198379314935576148221793-59920354435682
200715882037417682814611341464611856024574118820-15363-193011290657585619671382-59719642240716
2006458821333994763849013661444918650255421220091024714837-19178825886259012112420-55720342239890

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestFinance/interest incomeShare of profit/ (loss) of associatesSelling and distribution costsShare of net profit of jointly controlled entityOther expenses
2011394390268986225322075085553861423121698062818188
20112103492246188598321694668752791603733414562331658
20111120904399698367247664414058726161974607672219234
2010419508211006142462187470426460109056830273111278
201031409921072989417178719781167524372362967012647457
2010215594563501194462427942955741643252271074381127
20101123353512899977148416548611983914782886321324
20094192811689215218610731091046517032741744470171425
20093144460121151072038847887842281034133931698161
2009213434267731063163893931684580012859251255942236
20091953074762716904723336595940274409511081795389
200841431262583116812464155791360824-47347172457315
20083130333580010552348713417159814-42921526671445
20082133943572810677238410487731594-54801486165290
200811163157126864353858957259888-69201234816495
2007418423318315154129656123165211397-5935804633968
20073142012999510674944725917711572-120515041559172
20072185354863714807451225168611069-2361068941817
200711344259240972934715475850826-182771547-
20064196713956415985465461977492707-21211881408346

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentProperty developmentConstruction
2011319617119052461762061
2011219129101742442170116
201111973991883260977744
20104239121567232250154592
20103192791415630605105264
201021899272515027193933
201011001241694959167919
20094122031196659308133266
200932188062484613582693
200922072171904889671915
200911401554452664860089
200844227141505880774396
200831537489945035973594
2008220274104635903965093
2008118884108004156966662
20074528576247855492770
2007325140153945339478872
2007219533779348756124858-
200711423745474852076215-
20064214421075464844121181-

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersElimination/AdjustmentProperty developmentConstruction
20113251149812572457
20112231440983666159
2011115256577002363
20104168822621057414415
20103149225102433414564
2010218717281292816289
2010144999197263660
2009451765601437020818
2009322811200856118481
200922464838127149963
200912728106185376178
200848224810011439681
2008327373027122345704
2008253043836124815210
2008131822672114619674
2007435561767333688391
20073330427421543912590
20072371938771274016910-
2007113224601701514397-
2006413259791770112996-

Financial Quarter Segments Associate
yearqrtOthersConstructionOil & Gas
201131786283110370
2011297823318312
20111147022195990
20104--6452
20103--8144
20102--5187
20101603564687
20094--2318
20093--3968
20092--5822
20091--4011
20084--4811
20083--4705
20082--5822
20081--6702
20074--5710
20073--921
20072---
20071---
20064---

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


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1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

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