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Thursday, January 19, 2012

KLCI Stock - TDM / 2054 - 2011 Quarter 3

TDM BERHAD

Company Description
TDM BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company engaged in the provision of management services to its subsidiaries. The Company’s segments include plantation, food, health and others. Plantation involves cultivation of oil palms, sale of fresh fruit bunches and other related products. Food involves integrated poultry farming and processing of related products. Health includes provision of consultancy and operations of specialist medical centers. Others include investment holding, property development and project management. The Company’s subsidiaries include TDM Plantation Sdn. Bhd., Kumpulan Ladang-Ladang Trengganu Sdn. Bhd., TDM Trading Sdn. Bhd., TDM Capital Sdn. Bhd. and Kuantan Medical Centre Sdn. Bhd.

Company Info 
Listing Date2002-05-16
Market Capital (Capital Size)945,701,449 (Medium)
Par ValueRM 1.00
BoardMain
SectorPlantation
Major IndustryOil Palm & Others Crop
Sub IndustryMedical Centers
Websitehttp://www.tdmberhad.com.my/

My Analysis 
Forecast P/E now(3.97-0.17)/0.6828 = 5.57 (Moderate)
Target Price6.83+0.17 = 7.00 (PE 10.0, EPS 0.6828, DPS 0.17)
DecisionBUY if Bolinger upper band open or when stock price near to SMA20 and got stronger buying volume than selling
Comment
Revenue increased 19.3% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 46.2%, eps increased 58.4% and was second consecutive quarter increasing and also higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 69.2%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, stronger liquidity ratio but still at low level now, lower gearing ratio at below moderate level now, payables ratio still slightly high, cpo price increasing
First Support Price3.8
Second Support Price3.6
Risk RatingMODERATE

Accounting Ratio 
Return on Equity18.16%
Dividend Yield4.16%
Profit Margin47.45%
Tax Rate27.39%
Asset Turnover0.4971
Net Asset Value Per Share3.4
Net Tangible Asset per share3.36
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share0.98
Cash Per Share0.89
Liquidity Current Ratio1.7394
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.6122
Liquidity Cash Ratio1.2302
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio0.2695
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.2082
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale24.8%
Days to sell the inventory25
Days to collect the receivables38
Days to pay the payables175

Technical Analysis 
SMA 203.795 (Uptrend 61 days)
SMA 503.584 (Uptrend)
SMA 1003.235 (Uptrend)
SMA 2003.081 (Uptrend)
MACD0.178849 (Uptrend 1 day)
MACD Histogram-0.012144 (Downtrend 9 days)

My notes based on 2011 quarter 3 report (number in '000):-
- Higher revenue and pbt mainly due to double digit growth in production of CPO & PK and higher average prices of CPO & PK (vs FY11Q2 got lower average prices of CPO & PK) and increase number of patients being treated at hospitals and recently acquired TDMC Hospital Sdn. Bhd. contributed RM1.9 million in additional revenue and increase in average prices of livebird

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q3 result announced = 0.6207*1.1 = 0.6828, estimate PE on current price 3.97 = 5.57(DPS 0.17)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q2 result announced = (0.1258+0.1354)*2*0.9 = 0.4702, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.98/5.17 (DPS 0.17)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1258*0.85*4 = 0.4277, estimate highest/lowest PE = 7.13/5.96 (DPS 0.17)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.4184*0.9 = 0.3766, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.03/6.63 (DPS 0.135)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.4, estimate highest/lowest PE = 8.23/5.75 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0933*4 = 0.3732(0.0933 is average of eps in FY10Q1 and FY09Q4), estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.54/4.82 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0889*4 = 0.3556, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.52/4.16 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.2503*1.2 = 0.3004, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.23/5.13 (DPS 0.13)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = (0.0923+0.0418+0.019)/3*4*1.2 = 0.245, estimate highest/lowest PE = 6.37/5.51 (DPS 0.14)

TDM latest news (English)

TDM latest news (Chinese)



Financial Quarter Summary
a_dateyearqrth_pricel_pricedivroec_roerevc_revpbtc_pbtprofc_profepsc_epsassetliabminoequicfocficffcashfcfnetfinalsharec_sharem_capdateprof_mvatasset_tpenavpsntapsp/ntapscpsl_curl_quil_cashg_deg_daavg_winv_drec_dpay_d
2011-11-2420113N/AN/A-6.22%13.59%15150636781271897154173514741125110.21450.4736104578121769020331828091141320745112845217610066809383572144572400232375567896752011-09-3047.45%27.39%0.4971-3.43.360.980.891.73941.61221.23020.26950.208224.8%2538175
2011-08-09201123.452.6-4.21%8.02%126984232777441058227731996610370.13540.25909785952177351912976086059318459332884217610013385154571606432362752356326710212011-06-3034.73%26.66%0.4889-3.153.120.910.71.48381.35590.96720.29350.222517.3%2650188
2011-05-19201113.222.720.033.79%3.79%105792105792381723817229041290410.12580.1258965560199624187797659363788211186588817610026696325842086842309322309327274352011-03-3136.08%22.45%0.4523-3.243.230.980.91.84551.72441.34340.26720.206730.1%2349188
2011-02-21201043.162.630.1354.57%12.87%1355504208555096613142033215936080.14710.418492902220166818219727354144632582551699210647586377693851758602257452237316885222010-12-3137.60%33.50%0.4537.28983.173.160.970.781.64911.54761.12670.28440.217124.2%2057186
2010-11-26201033.422.43-4.10%8.77%110136285306367748045728261603950.12680.27258767381880851806568865357896190272337310647538869154961219712228772215965415912010-09-3033.39%21.62%0.4366-3.033.020.80.551.64151.48920.85110.28050.214524.1%2987188
2010-08-10201022.571.93-1.94%4.91%85246175170168614368212670321330.05720.145384300018850217501654498318169032260941064752278433101031652213372211855312082010-06-3019.78%23.54%0.4365-2.882.880.830.471.44811.31290.72420.29590.223617.4%2783189
2010-05-17201012.451.61-2.91%2.91%8992489924268222682219463194630.08890.08898713032032101728066809335672302956310647532643320801385552189342189344203532010-03-3129.83%25.80%0.4106-2.972.970.650.631.50481.38340.87990.31220.233222.2%2781211
2010-02-25200942.01.670.133.29%8.46%97508335593302417748721322547810.09740.2503838660190792168416478682371522520245571298371195233621064752188812188813655312009-12-3131.01%28.64%0.40026.67262.882.880.580.491.39931.29930.73740.30240.227517.3%2189198
2009-11-24200931.71.49-3.23%5.35%95286238085281124724620202334600.09230.1529829616204761166886248552591419279234831310256635168481141772188812188813414542009-09-3029.50%26.60%0.4005-2.782.770.560.521.23411.11810.72480.33670.246811.1%2668219
2009-08-13200921.721.48-1.45%2.11%7508114279912644191349140132580.04180.0606870346242166162566281801444910694341131025375534141344392188812188813677202009-06-3016.84%25.82%0.4136-2.82.790.60.611.22391.11490.68650.39570.278212.2%2985264
2009-05-27200911.81.45-0.67%0.67%677176771764886488411341130.01900.01908545612361461602061841579105196376131025271423381333632168982168983817402009-03-319.58%32.92%0.4363-2.782.770.640.611.16291.0770.69870.3920.27638.3%2371259
2009-02-26200841.781.30.142.51%16.06%941484050552476614068615414985920.07090.45378613622476161578161374672318259131776710119946405286381298372172972172972998692008-12-3126.31%37.14%0.45673.04152.752.750.50.61.17661.01010.65890.41410.28758.9%4865275
2008-11-26200831.411.0-5.90%13.67%1230393109074950711592035845830240.16450.38288952882878841557660740433576236254543101786995154081071942178822168982440272008-09-3040.24%26.24%0.4565-2.732.720.410.491.16251.06460.4610.48640.32169.2%32125265
2008-08-25200821.730.99-4.40%8.17%87959176233361886641425400471800.11760.2187862777284993149055777844582514557842210178631268228461246322159132157193735292008-06-3041.14%28.28%0.4202-2.612.610.660.581.06981.00120.54430.50630.33034.4%24105291
2008-05-28200812.241.52-3.95%3.95%8827488274302253022521707217070.09920.0992820723271778144225489451059858881037810119947105668955312188762188764749602008-03-3134.24%26.35%0.3911-2.442.440.890.441.02580.96060.47640.50840.33111.6%21110283
2008-02-27200742.281.620.07431.75%7.22%10940426712720371599449239381700.04290.177179096626229715853528669434422476658047671918676244801011992155242155244849292007-12-3118.62%50.60%0.337712.70452.382.380.950.470.94390.89640.54120.51150.3316-4.0%1691273
2007-11-27200732.711.5-4.66%5.55%76943157723330773957324303289310.11280.13428070352853298745521706110265992731776719549721820985392155242155243254412007-09-3042.99%25.21%0.2802-2.382.380.630.461.13251.08180.56420.55620.353610.2%17146274
2007-08-28200721.641.33-0.93%0.92%463458078059946496466846290.02170.02157651322638548308501278110547813179761791218867891170212155242155242780252007-06-3012.93%18.84%0.195-2.292.290.560.371.13841.09530.57550.53520.344812.9%16177329
2007-05-2820071N/AN/A-0.01%0.01%344353443550250262620.00030.000375942426301181114964137561447612200179123085911587972155242155242694052007-03-311.46%87.45%0.1355-2.272.270.550.340.88160.84720.43730.53860.3463-19.4%22245578
2007-02-2820064N/AN/A0.022.37%3.94%68429194451155132732311651194080.05410.09017816282892028009492426423932155080559562084320763767192155242155242025922006-12-3122.67%22.41%0.087510.43862.252.250.420.380.95920.92390.45450.5970.37-10.7%384511012

Financial Quarter Balance Sheet
yearqrtAvailable-for-sale investment (A-0)Biological assets (A-0)Goodwill on consolidation (A-0)Other investments (A-0)Prepaid lease payments (A-0)Property, plant and equipment (A-0)Cash and cash equivalents (A-1)Current asset classified as held for sales (A-1)Current tax assets (A-1)Inventories (A-1)Trade receivables (A-1)Deferred income (L-0)Deferred tax liabilities (L-0)Loans & borrowings (L-0)Retirement benefits obligations (L-0)Current tax liabilities (L-1)Dividend payable (L-1)Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale (L-1)Loans & borrowings (L-1)Retirement benefit obligations (L-1)Trade and other payables (L-1)Minority interest (M-1)
2011313539978388884700-32929321429011940352215254565-4225242282715178-397613167715364220331
2011215138497474254700-328184165012-2582183266059-4448518098273056--778216015961619129
2011114137355614684700-298697208912-2251883459027-425377428331187--333316115083118779
2010414836762414684700-296458176702-561591865948-4248915208336275--324516014714618219
20103-36002810704840-274873122333--2188291712-420211923413844--2922-13996218065
20102-35924210704836-270985103457--1930584105-41946223014692219--2902-13773617501
20101-35856810704847-269879138555--1911679268-41662258115094253--2601-15060417280
20094-35810810704810-271595107020--1452281535-41188268617942441--3299-13938416841
20093-35676010704809170375101414114634--1834162213-4094237951857192--2360-15561516688
20092-3555771070480917155497664134439--2133683897-40593410716351597--2642-19159216256
20091-3552541070480917176999700133363--1639272204-40594303116554348--2610-18390816020
20084-3549121070480917274693846131025--3312369831350040772285116414507--3374-19097115781
20083-3538611216481017700688057107194--2277214037224500277901353170141965--3413-18716215576
20082-353804138481017526183778124632--1571810463624500284191370171136336--3246-18941114905
20081-35356113848101732358325195531--130799711839500285871414173020815--6430-17330214422
20074-353147-480917374881742101786--89286680639500310131987172321038--12727-15430915853
20073-363896-48101644827606298539--88549039284500232031266172124154311-22764-1451498745
20072-360921-48101686627263779931--5979721929876623203126617376398--5677-1268078308
20071-360818-4810-24499773812--5806691816650024240172017595163--8300-1553298111
20064-360763-46471692637432081808--6343844847850027127182917591716--7272-1709998009

Financial Quarter Income Statement
yearqrtRevenueIncome tax expenseCost of salesFinance/interest costsOther incomeAdministrative/Operating expensesMinority interestSelling and distribution costsDiscontinued operationOther expenses
2011315150619694566748137882341272924358651660
2011212698411759664791973831174353501783-816
20111105792857153511561625132665601433-979
201041355501707659074684076269506752320-248
20103110136794955793761507163725642546-82
201028524639695335922868142562221578-38
20101899246920502841602071128184391842-69
2009497508866048894763313173132592074-2223
20093952867478538091131101121584321960-235
2009275081326551047981265112372391114-206
200916771721364808198443116732391636-184
2008494148919848800893918212861543092-211
2008312303912991551701831464160536712445-1145
200828795910233452161527161115055551927-132
2008188274796342935179883103205554981-517
2007410940410307430402295032261468259188-5398
20073769438338-25859452435436---
20072463451129-93238942647197---
2007134435439-1552694364721---
20064684293477-126887761667385---

Financial Quarter Segments Revenue
yearqrtOthersPlantationFoodHealth
20113-128658-22848
20112-94126953323325
20111-84284278018728
201041721291680558621072
201031164873156648818844
20102-59135662919292
20101-83054744118699
200941139163263689315961
200931042459635833116896
20092830942550695917263
20091738238999609315243
200841121064714384914375
200831372786219762515468
20082298264215596714795
20081845260735572713360
20074574188786392410953
20073547154959491711596
20072272128151496610507
2007111561876551469368
2006491284231986418341

Financial Quarter Segments Profit
yearqrtOthersPlantationFoodHealth
201134967969-3014
20112189399329573405
20111191361621741645
201046424808411343374
201033694304063782296
2010225144571362565
201011249346522539
20094614284214571977
200934775208265731938
20092183883831722251
2009196644283091403
20084342237827651407
200838329390455001633
200828753266658901660
200814993245497231406
2007410283119532506641
20073443428201254696
200722055061238966
20071607742278645
200641461168572191614

Monthly Business Data
yearmthCrude Palm OilFresh Fruits BunchesPalm Kernel
2011129777.356910.862872.58
20111110369.7759651.272754.53
20111013307.0976352.43556.51
201191247376509.113099.01
2011811658.0958512.852833.4
2011711744.559638.22573.18
201168898.8947102.131920.58
201158995.2345327.782196.47
201146403.8137360.151726.89
201137578.5739976.992024.48
201126730.5134818.251858.43
201115977.2333604.871815.54
2010129396.6449073.092553.31
20101111638.4461688.553216.12
20101012293.0262127.163314.29
2010910331.2854109.472729.32
2010810275.3851259.892728.13
2010710042.8851319.652560.94
201068070.1341071.871950.17
201056474.1831569.521565.69
201046368.8232184.921655.95
20103819040207.722179.95
201026871.1233745.691816.3
201018156.8942267.422271.24
2009128149.955344.912510.45
2009118694.4152210.922463.83
20091012721.768808.913346.31
2009910200.4755390.112607.77
2009810208.349391.642543.94
200978475.6740570.482030.03
200967245.5233989.881683.06
200956963.5633989.761786.71
200946754.1333314.141819.6
200936992.2635396.741952.66
200926250.0730896.161728.07
200917071.5640453.962044.42

Short form reference
a_date = announcement date, yr = financial year end, qrt = quarter
h_price = stock highest price during the quarter, l_price = stock lowest price during the quarter
div = dividend recommend or declare in the quarter, roe = return on equity
c_roe = cumulative of return on equity during the financial year
rev = revenue in the current quarter, c_rev = cumulative of revenue during the financial year
pbt = profit before tax in the current quarter, c_pbt = cumulative of profit before tax during the financial year
eps = earnings per share in the current quarter, c_eps = cumulative of earnings per share during the financial year
asset = total asset, liab = total liability, mino = minority interest, equi = total equity
cfo = net cash flow from operating activities, cfi = net cash flow from investing activities
cff = net cash flow from financing activities, cash = cash and cash equivalents as at beginning of financial year
final = cash and cash equivalents as at current financial period ended
share = diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares
c_share = cumulative of diluted/basic weighted average number of ordinary shares during the financial year
m_cap = market capital at announcement date of quarterly report, date = current financial period ended date
prof_m = profit margin, vat = income tax rate, pe = price earning per share ratio of recent four quarter
navps = net asset value per share, ntaps = net tangible asset per share, cps = cash per share
l_cur = liquidity current ratio, l_qui = liquidity quick ratio, l_cash = liquidity cash ratio
g_de = gearing debt to equity ratio, g_da = gearing debt to assets ratio
avg_w = working capital per thousand Ringgit sale
inv_d = days to sell the inventory, rec_d = days to collect the receivables
pay_d = days to pay the payables



6-Months Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com


CURRENT


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING
ANNUAL REPORTS


HISTORICAL


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING


ARCHIVES


CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDING




1-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

5-Years Historical Chart from shareinvestor.com

1 comment:

farmland investment said...

I love companies that have a diverse line of businesses. If one is down, it can always be compensated by another line being up. Its the strategy Warren Buffet uses with his Berkshire Hathaway conglomerate.

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