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Saturday, June 18, 2011

KLCI Stock - MMCCORP / 2194 - 2011 Quarter 1

Company Info
Market Capital (Capital Size)8,404,361,603 (Very Large)
Par ValueRM 0.10

My Analysis
Forecast P/E now(2.76-0.035)/0.119 = 22.90 (High)
Target Price1.90+0.035 = 1.94 (PE 16.0, EPS 0.119, DPS 0.035)
DecisionNot interested unless revenue and profit increase more
Comment
Revenue decreased 1.2% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 7.7%, eps decreased 59% but higher than preceding year corresponding quarter 29.4%, cash generated from operating more than enough to cover all expenses, weaker liquidity ratio at low level now, higher gearing ratio at very high ratio now, all accounting periods are good, construction division continue loss
First Support Price2.56
Second Support Price2.35
Risk RatingMODERATE

Research House
Credit Suisse Target Price3.8 (2010-10-04)
S&P Target Price3 (2010-11-25)
HwangDBS Target Price3.7 (2011-06-01)
Kenanga Target Price3.16 (2011-06-14)
OSK Target Price3.58 (2011-06-14)

Accounting Ratio
Return on Equity3.40%
Dividend Yield1.27%
Profit Margin12.80%
Tax Rate37.03%
Asset Turnover0.2478
Net Asset Value Per Share2.19
Net Tangible Asset per share-0.4
Price/Net Tangible Asset Per Share-6.98
Cash Per Share1.66
Liquidity Current Ratio1.2784
Liquidity Quick Ratio1.1692
Liquidity Cash Ratio0.812
Gearing Debt to Equity Ratio3.8987
Gearing Debt to Asset Ratio0.7135
Working capital per thousand Ringgit sale19.2%
Days to sell the inventory36
Days to collect the receivables79
Days to pay the payables101

My notes based on 2011 quarter 1 report (number in '000):-
- Higher profit recorded from Energy & Utilities division due to higher volume of gas sold, lower other operating expenses, improved associates performance and lower finance cost following repayment of loan during the period

- Higher profit recorded from Transport & Logistics division mainly driven by the increase in
throughput volume

- Better performance from the Engineering & Construction division mainly due to the absence of profit revisions for the double track project despite the project losses of Zelan Berhad, an
associate company of the group

- Lower contribution from Corporate & Others division by RM33.5 million or 124.8% was due to no gain on disposal of investment recorded as in the corresponding financial period

- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2011 Q1 result announced = 0.1133*1.05 = 0.119, estimate PE on current price 2.76 = 22.9(DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q4 result announced = 0.1133, estimate highest/lowest PE = 25.99/22.29 (DPS 0.035)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q3 result announced = 0.0676*2*1.1 = 0.1487, estimate highest/lowest PE = 21.45/17.82 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q2 result announced = 0.0402*2*1.1 = 0.0884, estimate highest/lowest PE = 37.56/27.94 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2010 Q1 result announced = 0.0777*1.1 = 0.0855, estimate highest/lowest PE = 31.23/25.73 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q4 result announced = 0.0777*1.1 = 0.0855, estimate highest/lowest PE = 29.82/25.38 (DPS 0.03)
- Estimate next 4Q eps after 2009 Q3 result announced = 0.0297*4*0.9 = 0.1069, estimate highest/lowest PE = 23.43/20.63 (DPS 0.025)

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